Saturday, January 2, 2010

Polls in Ukraine

Beginning today, reports of public opinion polls are prohibited (the law does not permit publication fifteen or fewer days prior to an election). I have not obtained raw polling data to make an independent assessment, but all signs point to Yuliya Tymoshenko and Viktor Yanukovych emerging from the first round on January 17. The Kyiv Post has published results of polling from several agencies that predict Yanukovych to emerge with the most votes in the first round.

As the election approaches, contenders and the media will direct attention to election administration. Some of my Ukrainian colleagues at CIFRA have published an interesting analysis of electoral commission membership that is worth reading (in Russian).

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